Judicial Interpretation and Dirty Words: An Analysis of Iancu v. Brunetti

This is the second of a series on the common good and trademark law examining the case of Iancu v. Brunetti. The first post may be found here.

Professor Adrian Vermeule, my fellow contributor here at Ius et Iustitium, has recently published a concise and convincing book expounding on common good constitutionalism. Near the beginning he states that his goal is to present an “interpretive” argument, that is, to show that law in general, and American law in particular, functions best “when the courts defer to public determination of [positive legal provisions], so long as the public authority acts rationally and with a view to legitimate public purposes.” For the meat of this interpretive argument, Vermeule turns to several different famous and important cases, including two Supreme Court cases: Lochner v. New York and United States v. Curtiss-Wright Export Corp.

At the risk of a bit too much levity, I would like to extend and apply Vermeule’s interpretive argument to a much less important Supreme Court case—whether the word FUCT should have been granted trademark registration or barred as “immoral or scandalous.” My first post on trademarks discussed the case of Iancu v. Brunetti, which poses a straightforward matter for decision. Erik Brunetti wanted to register the use of the mark FUCT for shirts and other apparel. Section 2(a) of the Lanham Act of 1946 prohibits registration marks that are, among other bars, “immoral or scandalous.” Brunetti asserted such a prohibition ran afoul of the First Amendment. My first post addressed the background of the case and presented it in the context of the purpose of trademark law.

Today, I turn to the justices’ opinions. This would seem to be a straightforward case, yet Brunetti resulted in a 6-3 decision, with 5 different opinions sparring over issues of statutory interpretation, constitutional interpretation, deference, and governmental abuse of power. Seemingly mundane cases can be more illuminating of justices’ legal analysis and interpretative methods. Through Brunetti, I hope to address one criticism that has been brought against Vermeule’s argument—that natural law and originalism will ultimately come to the same conclusion in most cases regarding the application of moral principles to the law. It turns out that the “Case of the FUCT Registration” proves that natural lawyers and originalists do indeed arrive at different substantive results.

Textualism in the Service of Legal Progressivism: Kagan’s Majority Opinion in Brunetti

Justice Kagan is widely recognized as a great legal writer, and her concise and clear majority opinion in Brunetti is no exception. Joined by justices across the spectrum—Ginsburg, Kavanaugh, Gorsuch, Thomas, and Alito (with a short concurrence)—Kagan’s opinion steps through the now de rigeur First Amendment analysis. First, is the statute content- or viewpoint-based, or is it viewpoint-neutral? If the statute regulates speech based on its content, then it is “presumptively unconstitutional” unless the speech in question is within one of a narrow range of exceptions (fraudulent speech, fighting words, imminent threats, obscenity, etc.). If the statute is viewpoint neutral, it will be judged on whether the restriction is reasonably tailored to meet legitimate government ends.

Kagan finds that the statute is viewpoint-based. Admittedly, it is difficult to plausibly suggest otherwise. The statute bans marks that are “immoral or scandalous,” which requires a specific judgment on the content of the words forming the trademark. Justice Kagan noted, for example, that the USPTO had rejected marks that promoted drug use (MARIJUANA COLA), promoted terrorism (BABY AL QAEDA), or could be deemed blasphemous (MADONNA on wine), while marks that opposed drug use, related to the War on Terror Memorial, or indicated positive connotations of faith were granted registration.

Kagan does find that the words “immoral or scandalous” are broad and open to various meanings, so one may ask why the Court does not simply interpret the words narrowly? Kagan answers this question by demonstrating her commitment to her famous 2015 quip, “We are all textualists now.” “This Court,” she writes, “may interpret ambiguous statutory language to avoid serious constitutional doubts, … [b]ut that canon of construction applies only when ambiguity exists.” The “scandalous or immoral” bar applies not just to lewd, sexually explicit, or profane marks (which the government offered as narrowing constructions), but rather to “the universe of immoral or scandalous material.” Since the statute could not be saved by a narrower construction, it was declared unconstitutional.

We should pause here to consider some historical background. When Congress passed the Lanham Act in 1946 there was no question that it believed it could properly bar “immoral or scandalous” marks from registration. The bar itself dates back to the 1905 Trademarks Act Section 5(a), using exactly the same language. Throughout this time, as a recent Harvard Law Review note states, blasphemy laws and other restrictions on immoral or scandalous speech were routinely upheld as constitutional. Just five years before passage of the Lanham Act, the Tenth Circuit upheld an Oklahoma City ordinance that imposed a fine for “casting contumelious reproach or profane ridicule on God.” Oney v. Oklahoma City, 120 F.2d 861, 865 (10th Cir. 1941). If cities could criminally punish pure speech that was blasphemous, surely Congress reasonably assumed it could simply deny government benefits to trademarks (speech that serves a communal, market-protecting function) that are immoral or scandalous. If cities could implement statutes using words such as “contumelious reproach” and “profane ridicule,” the potential ambiguity or breadth in “immoral or scandalous” seems tame by comparison.

Yet Kagan strikes down the law, using the tiered scrutiny system that only became commonly used and described during the postwar Warren and Burger courts. (Cohen v. California, the case of Paul Cohen’s “Fuck the Draft” jacket, was decided in 1971.) So why does the Court effectively fault Congress for failing to foresee a revolutionary shift in constitutional interpretation? Couldn’t the Court simply adopt Congress’ intent or purpose and narrowly construe the statute?

Kagan rejects the narrowing interpretation because that postwar legal revolution marks the way of legal progressivism, which Vermeule writes “is rooted in a particular mythology of endless liberation through the continual overcoming of the reactionary past.” Not punishing men wearing vulgar jackets, or not refusing to grant trademark protection even to vulgar marks, is proof for Kagan of our commitment to “liberal values.” The tiered scrutiny system is intended to drain analysis of speech content from the law despite the fact that for over 150 years, the First Amendment was not understood to require such emptying. For a progressive jurisprudence, there is no need to overturn that system.

So, how do the four more moderate or conservative justices get reeled in by Kagan and Ginsburg here? Textualism is her bait. The statute says what it says, Kagan writes, and we cannot do otherwise. We have access to dictionaries, we know what these words mean, and they are broad definitions and viewpoint-based. The entire tone of Kagan’s majority opinion conveys a sense of, “There’s nothing to see here.” We’re not changing constitutional interpretations to which conservatives acquiesced decades ago, and we’re not doing anything but defining words and putting them in the appropriate box. Move along. In many ways, this tone is similar to the most famous recent example of textualism serving to advance progressive goals: Justice Gorsuch’s decision in Bostock finding that Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 applies to discrimination on the basis of sexual orientation and gender identity.

Textualism as a Hindrance to Traditional Legal Interpretation: Alito’s Concurrence

But even if conservative justices would be more interested in preventing immoral or scandalous marks from being granted benefits under trademark law, Justice Alito’s concurrence demonstrates how they nevertheless play along. Textualism is simply principled adherence to the text, and it’s too bad Congress drafted the law using the wrong magic words. But the Court can’t rewrite statutes, and in Alito’s view, “a law banning speech deemed by government officials to be ‘immoral’ or ‘scandalous’ can easily be exploited for illegitimate ends.” As Vermeule notes in Common Good Constitutionalism, worries about abuse of power are always directed to government officials. Legal conservatives are myopically unable to see abuse of the common good by private actors with the same level of urgency. And among potential governmental abuses of power, I hope that rogue trademark examining attorneys, nefariously and selectively deploying their powers to deny protection to arguably naughty trademarks, are not high on the list of severe abuses of power. In essence, we see in Alito’s opinion a deep suspicion of government action as ever being conducive to the common good, and Congress and agencies should be given no deference.

In any case, Alito’s short concurrence demonstrates how textualism is used by conservatives as a screen for “principled decisionmaking,” when in fact it is simply a failure to live up to the consequences of their failure to judge. “Our decision does not prevent Congress from adopting a more carefully focused statute that precludes the registration of marks containing vulgar terms that play no real part in the expression of ideas,” Alito writes, suggesting Congress just needs to write a better statute. What words would Alito use? Vulgar? Shocking? Offensive? These are of course dictionary synonyms for “scandalous,” which he just agreed was unconstitutionally broad. Like Gorsuch’s twisted interpretation of Title VII in Bostock, a wooden textualism such as Alito’s would render impossible any Congressional attempt to rewrite the statute to cover what it plainly intended to at the time of enactment.

Here, too, is an exemplary instance of the Court’s foremost originalists arriving at a decision that is at odds with common good jurisprudence. The common good, as discussed below, would simply ask whether Congress has reasonably determined a rule to promote stated public purposes. In contrast, the originalists here ignore the original public meaning and purpose behind the words “immoral and scandalous” when they were enacted in 1905 and reenacted in 1946, at a time when the jurisprudential landscape was very different. And they ignore that the Founding Fathers almost certainly did not understand the First Amendment to apply to commercial speech (as statutes about public decorum and regulation of trade in the 18th century common market attest). Rather they take statutes out of context, apply a modern interpretation of the First Amendment, and arrive at a conclusion that Alito seems to detest but does nothing to resolve. Brunetti may be a somewhat silly case, but it is exemplary of the kind of reasoning that conservatives have come to fear from originalists on the Court in more impactful cases.

Complicating Textualism: Sotomayor’s and Roberts’ Dissents

Each of the dissenting justices—Sotomayor, Breyer, and Roberts—agreed with the majority that the bar on “immoral” marks fell as viewpoint based. They differed in that they believed the bar on “scandalous” marks could be independently salvaged. Justice Sotomayor’s dissent was joined by Breyer, who also wrote a separate dissent addressed below. She walks through a standard textualist rejoinder to the majority, stating first that the term was ambiguous and that a reasonable limiting construction would be to apply “scandalous” to obscene, vulgar, or profane marks. She then walks through the intermediate scrutiny analysis to arrive at the conclusion that such a construction would be constitutional. For reasons he does not make clear, Roberts does not formally join Sotomayor’s dissent, but he states that he agrees with Justice Sotomayor’s narrowing construction in his own four-paragraph dissent.

For our purposes, the most important part of each of their dissents is the pains taken to make two points. First, everyone denies that the government is making or can make any moral judgment when denying trademarks. No justice suggests that the government could deny registration simply on the basis of immorality. Second, they both reiterate that no one is actually being prevented from speaking; the government is simply choosing not to confer a benefit. Sotomayor writes, “the First Amendment protects Brunetti’s right to use words like the one at issue here,” while Roberts concludes, “the First Amendment protects freedom of speech;” it’s simply that the Government is not required to “give aid and comfort to those using obscene, vulgar, and profane modes of expression.” Sotomayor’s and Roberts’ dissents demonstrate that, even in losing, they are still playing by the rules of modern progressive and originalist jurisprudence. For those seeking to reconnect the law to the general welfare and the common good, that’s a losing game.

A Halfway Attempt at a Common Good Opinion: Breyer’s Dissent

I finally turn to Breyer’s dissent, the most interesting opinion of the quintet. He astutely notes that the provision in question, which grants a government benefit to certain private activity, does not easily fit into any of the usual categories of First Amendment speech. Picking up a point I raised in my first post on this case, he dismisses the idea that trademarks are “commercial speech” because they serve a “commercial function” to identify a product’s source. He adds that offensive and vulgar words are specifically used to attract attention and to emotionally provoke viewers and listeners, which also affects the function of the market.

Rather than sticking to the usual First Amendment playbook of asking whether the statute is viewpoint based or neutral and then applying the appropriate tier of scrutiny, Breyer “would appeal more often and more directly to the values the First Amendment seeks to protect.” Ultimately, he asks whether the provision in question “works speech-related harm that is out of proportion to its justifications.” Breyer concludes that the limited harm to speech in such a case is outweighed by the government’s decision to regulate speech in commercial contexts to protect the function of the market, especially in cases where children may be present.

In so many words—and in his characteristically Breyeresque attempt to formulate a multi-factor balancing test—Breyer is getting to a key point. Does the government have legitimate reasons to prevent the use of scandalous marks? Yes. Did Congress draw a reasonable line? Yes. Does that line harm core First Amendment values? No. Then the court should defer to Congress.

This is reminiscent of Justice Harlan’s opinion in Mugler v. Kansas and his dissent in Lochner, which Vermeule highlighted here and in his book as model opinions of common good constitutionalism. Of course the state can make reasonable laws directed to the common good, and a bar on scandalous marks is such a reasonable statute. Unlike Alito, Breyer would defer to decisions by Congress and the agency applying the statute, however imperfect such application may be.

My only complaint here is that Breyer does not go far enough—the same analysis should apply to the immorality bar as to the scandal bar.

A Hypothetical Common Good Opinion in Brunetti

How might such an opinion be structured? First, the opinion would recognize that the government and courts themselves have permitted decisions based on moral conclusions before. The multiple examples of blasphemy laws cited above are one line of cases, but we need not even leave the realm of intellectual property law. As I have described with respect to patents, Justice Story understood the utility requirement to prohibit patents being granted to “mischievous or immoral” inventions, setting up a line of precedent that lasted until 1936. Indeed, a decision to deny patent protection, like denial of a trademark registration, is not a bar against use of the invention itself but rather simply a denial of governmental benefit. (In fact, not even the Supreme Court or the Federal Circuit has suggested that Justice Story’s moral gloss on the utility requirement is unconstitutional—just that it does not apply under the current patent statute.)

Second, the court opinion would recognize that Congress is acting within its sphere of competency. It is within the powers of Congress to regulate interstate commerce, including the tenor and civility of that commerce. Furthermore, Congress has specifically granted the Patent & Trademark Office the faculty to make those decisions on a case-by-case basis.

Third, Congress may act on a reasonable conception of the common good in that sphere. As Justice Breyer writes, Congress may act to ensure that the marketplace remains a place of common courtesy, particularly in the case of trademarks that serve an important role in the functioning of the market.

Finally, reasonable and nonarbitrary decisions by a trademark examining attorney would be upheld. This is where Alito’s concerns about abuse of power really fall apart. Denial of trademark registration is not a matter of urgency, and courts can review any decision to deny for arbitrariness. But both immorality and scandal in the common marketplace are reasonable bases for Congress to deny government benefits. Assuming the decision is reasonable in a particular case, courts should then defer.

In short, the public authority may act for the common good, including the promotion of health, safety, and morals in the commons. It does so by making reasonable determinations about the means to promote its stated public purposes, namely, that immoral and scandalous marks should not receive government protection. In such cases judges must defer. A simple enough summary—one Vermeule himself would recognize. For a conservative in the common good tradition, this is an exceptionally easy case, and we should wonder why the originalists on the Court strive so hard to obtain the wrong result.

A tort for “cancel culture”

In his annual address to the Vatican diplomatic corps on January 11, Pope Francis decried the phenomenon of “cancel culture.” The Pope noted that “[u]nder the guise of defending diversity,” “cancel culture” obliterates “all sense of identity, with the risk of silencing positions that defend a respectful and balanced understanding of all sensibilities.” Worse than that, it promotes a kind of thinking that is “constrained to deny history or, worse yet, to rewrite it in terms of present-day categories, whereas any historical situation must be interpreted in the light of a hermeneutics of that particular time, not that of today.” 

One finds examples of the “cancel culture” condemned by the Pope everywhere, with new examples emerging almost daily. Professors and podcasters alike find themselves in the hot seat with astonishing regularity. However, few solutions to “cancel culture” have been identified. The cycle continues. Some prominent professor, executive, or personality says something wicked, foolish, or merely unpopular. The usual suspects of left-wing journalists and Twitter power users find it and boost the signal, often notifying the person’s employer through the phenomenon of “snitch tagging.” The outrage builds in a sort of positive feedback loop. Finally the desired goal is reached and the professor or executive finds herself without a job, without friends, and without prospects. 

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Reviving the Classical Constitution

Out today in the New York Times is an essay published with a view to the upcoming release of my new book, Common Good Constitutionalism, published by Polity Books. (The essay started as an adaptation from the book, but isn’t really anymore, although of course the broad lines of argument are similar).

An excerpt from the essay:

What’s missing from our law today is an emphasis on the common good, a concept that from the founding era onward was central to the American legal tradition, embodied in the references to the “general welfare” in both the preamble to the Constitution and its text. The classical legal tradition, the mainstream of the Western legal tradition until the 20th century, holds that laws should be interpreted in light of the legitimate aim of government, which is the flourishing of the community as a community. Classical constitutionalism holds that our political community can succeed only as a whole, rather than as a collection of warring interests, competing ideologies and isolated individuals — the underlying logic of modern jurisprudence. The aim of constitutional government and legal interpretation should be to promote the classical ideals of peace, justice and abundance.

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Catholics for Choice and Trademark law

On the evening of January 21, 2022, the night before the annual March for Life in Washington, D.C., pro-life activists gathered in the Basilica of the National Shrine of the Immaculate Conception to celebrate Mass for the unborn and for the success of the March. Unbeknownst to the Mass-goers, another group of protesters gathered with a projector across the street from the Basilica. As Mass was being celebrated inside the church, these protestors projected onto the outside of the church statements in support of legal abortion access. This group was led by Catholics for Choice, an organization dedicated to protecting legal abortion.

The same group released a statement that evening by its president Jamie L. Manson stating, “I support abortion access because my Catholic faith teaches that healthcare is a human right, and that includes abortion. … Catholics for Choice will never stop shining our light on behalf of the pro-choice, faithful majority for the fundamental constitutional and human right to abortion – as a matter of justice, a matter of freedom, and a matter of faith.” The following day Wilton Cardinal Gregory made plain his view of the dissident group and their stunt, stating, “The true voice of the Church was only found within the Basilica,” and that “those whose antics projected words on the outside of the church building demonstrated by those pranks that they really are external to the Church and they did so at night.” He then cited John 13:30: “And Judas having received the bread, went out immediately. And it was night.”

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Dante’s Lawyers from Purgatory: Trajan

2021 marked the 700 th anniversary of Dante’s death and saw the publication on March 25 of Pope Francis’ Candor Lucis Aeterna, a lucid analysis of Dante and his work. This is the third of a series of Ius et Iustitium pieces by Aníbal Sabater discussing lawyers in the Divine Comedy. The first two pieces, “Dante’s Lawyers from Hell” and “Dante’s Lawyers from Purgatory: Cato” can be found here.


Man becomes proud, Aquinas reminds us, not only by coveting God’s likeness or human praise, but also by indulging in “excellence,” that is, in the presumption of superiority over others.[1]   This notion that there is spiritual danger in being too good at anything—including a professional activity—permeates the Commedia[2] and gets special attention in Purgatorio, where the haughty are  purified by carrying heavy stones while contemplating three animated sculptures.[3] The first is a statue of Our Lady uttering her “Ecce Ancilla Domini”;[4] the second shows David dancing merrily before the Ark, indifferent to his wife, Michol, who mocks him for this “un-royal” conduct; the third depicts the encounter between a widow and the Roman Emperor Trajan, as he departs for the Dacian Wars.  She asks him to judge his son’s assassins. Trajan demurs, but she insists and eventually persuades him.[5] 

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Customary Law and Popular Sovereignty

Following are lightly edited remarks delivered at a panel on “Unwritten Law,” held at the annual meeting of the Association of American Law Schools on January 6, 2022. These informal remarks are of course not intended to be rigorous or comprehensive, merely suggestive. Many thanks to organizer Robert Leider and fellow panelists Jeremy Waldron, Steve Sachs and Ashraf Ahmed for their thoughts and contributions.


It’s difficult to know how to discuss the topic of unwritten law in twelve minutes. The topic is an incredibly heterogeneous one, full of analytic complications that require endless preliminary distinctions, such as the extremely pellucid and not at all confusing distinction, beloved of legal historians, between legal custom and customary law. So naturally I propose simply to heroically ignore all those conceptual preliminaries and tell you how I changed my mind on a fundamental substantive issue: the relationship between popular sovereignty and custom. 

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Originalist Blasphemy

Ius & Iustitium is pleased to present this guest post from T.A.D., a third-year student at Harvard Law School.


If today the government tried to ban blasphemy – the offense of maliciously reviling God or Christianity – it would face a constitutional hurdle. More precisely, it would face three hurdles: the Free Speech Clause, Free Exercise Clause, and Establishment Clause of the First Amendment. Based on the way that many people now understand these constitutional provisions, the government could face an uphill legal battle in proscribing blasphemy. 

But in a recently published Harvard Law Review piece, I argue that the original meaning of free speech, religious freedom, and non-establishment was different. As originally understood, these constitutional guarantees did not prevent the government from punishing blasphemy. In other words, even when the government was constitutionally forbidden from abridging free speech, prohibiting free religious exercise, or recognizing any religious establishment, it could still criminalize blasphemy. 

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Little Giant Constitutionalism

The oral arguments in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health have been held and the cause taken under advisement. If the past practice of the Supreme Court is any indication, one morning in late June 2022, a little after 10 AM, the Supreme Court will issue a decision. Pro-life advocates and abortion supporters have been poring over the tea leaves from the oral argument pretty much nonstop since Chief Justice Roberts gaveled them to a close on December 1. And soon, one suspects, the incessant drip of leaks from One First Street will begin—if it has not begun already.

Conservative commentators have decided that originalism itself hangs in the balance. If the Supreme Court does not take the opportunity presented by Dobbs to overrule Roe and Casey, that’s the end of originalism. Ed Whelan, the reliable fixture of the judicial wing of Conservatism, Inc., thinks that there will be much to answer for if that happens. And Joel Alicea, a law professor at Catholic University of America, has gone so far as to say that the Supreme Court’s decision in Dobbs is all that stands between originalism and a future dominated by Adrian Vermeule.

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The End of Originalism

On the eve of what may well be its biggest victory, there is a palpable sense of anxiety within the conservative legal movement. This is not merely anxiety that they might not win the actual case. It is an anxiety that if they do not, they will cease to matter and will be replaced by a newer (yet older) jurisprudence: This jurisprudence is, of course, simply the classical legal tradition, or “common good constitutionalism” as it is now called. Joel Alicea recently observed, a defeat here would be “crisis inducing” for originalism. A wag of Marxist sensibilities might say that a specter is haunting originalism—the specter of the classical legal tradition, of the common good. But only one power of originalism can exorcise it: the power at One First Street. The cause of the originalists’ anxiety is all too clear.

This is their fear if the conservative justices do not deliver in Dobbs. But what about the other outcomes? What happens if Dobbs comes down as a resounding endorsement for the main-line view of the conservative legal movement—that is, what if Dobbs explicitly overturns Roe and declares that as the constitution is silent on the question of abortion it is therefore a matter for the states? Make no mistake—Roe and Casey are disastrous decisions that should be overturned immediately. And it may be, given the choice of options available today, that a straight overturning of Roe and Casey is as good a victory as we can get. Such a reversal would save many lives which would otherwise be lost to abortion, and would be a historic victory well worth celebrating. Nevertheless, a victory in Dobbs on such terms, however much it is a consummation devoutly to be wished, will not protect originalism from its common good critics, and this for two reasons: one pragmatic and one principled.

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Dobbs and the Illusion of Neutrality

The parties’ briefs are in, oral argument is concluded, and Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization is submitted to the Court for decision. The justices will convene today for their initial votes on the case, but the behind-the-scenes wrangling has likely only just begun. In the meantime, we wait.

From our perspective here at Ius & Iustitium, the oral argument provided good news and bad news. The good news is that Justices Kavanaugh and Barrett did not appear interested in a “compromise” that upheld Mississippi’s 15 week ban on abortion (with exceptions for health of the mother) but left the constitutional right to abortion in place. Chief Justice Roberts repeatedly raised such a position in questioning, but neither Kavanaugh nor Barrett touched on it, and the parties themselves dismissed it. Mississippi Solicitor General Scott Stewart stuck to the position of overruling Roe and Casey completely, while the clinic’s counsel Julie Rikelman refused to budge from viability as the only “logical” point at which a state could prohibit a woman from aborting her unborn child. While perhaps somewhat surprising as a litigation strategy, it is probably the right call. As Sherif Gergis has been arguing for months, any rule that attempts to uphold the Mississippi law while also preserving some constitutional right to an abortion would only be more incoherent and indefensible as constitutional law than the status quo. Perhaps the liberal justices may persuade Roberts and one other justice to take that position behind closed doors, but at oral argument that seemed unlikely. Thus, the only question that would remain is whether at least two of Roberts, Kavanaugh and Barrett will agree with Justices Thomas, Alito, and Gorsuch that Roe must go, and stare decisis does not save it.

The bad news is that the kabuki theatre of originalist jurisprudence failing to account for the immorality of hundreds of thousands of aborted children every year remained firmly in place. Stewart suggested this gruesome fact was just a “hard question” that should be left to the people to legislate. Meanwhile, the position that unborn children are persons under the 14th Amendment, so ably presented in originalist form by John Finnis, Robert George, Joshua Craddock, and others both before the Court in amici briefs and in more popular forums, was raised only to be dismissed. Justice Kavanaugh—himself a self-proclaimed originalist—sought Stewart’s confirmation that he was not arguing the Supreme Court “somehow has the authority to itself prohibit abortion or that this Court has the authority to order the states to prohibit abortion,” and Stewart promptly agreed. No, fetal personhood is not on the table now, only a seeming “neutrality” that will result in a patchwork of state laws ranging from complete abortion bans to abortion at will through full term of the pregnancy.

On the one hand, as previously discussed here last spring, that is probably the strategically correct decision for Stewart right now. The Court as currently constituted does not have 5 votes for fetal personhood. Even so, the fact that fetal personhood is actually a credibly presented alternative option this time could be the difference between failure in Casey and success in Dobbs. In 1992, overruling Roe meant giving conservatives what they wanted; in 2021, overruling Roe can be framed as the “neutral” position. At times Justice Kavanaugh seemed to be openly setting up just such an opinion. This disagreement in strategy was the cause of some controversy earlier this year, with some originalists arguing the fetal personhood position was wrong in principle. Reliance on a self-limited strategy to merely overturn Roe left the Court with less room to maneuver 30 years ago. It might be that making fetal personhood a viable foil to the “neutrality” of silence at least gets us to neutrality this time, rather than the compromise that Roberts was probing.

On the other hand, even if the Court overrules Roe, we should not think the battle is over; rather, it will have only intensified. Yes, many states stand prepared to immediately ban or severely restrict abortion in such an eventuality. But many others, including such populous states as California, New York, and Illinois, stand to broaden access to abortion. The resulting patchwork quilt of laws, with women in red states trying to travel to blue states for abortions, will only provide justification for a federal solution by Congress, which will not be a total ban. In that regard, Republican Senator Susan Collins has already stated she would support a national codification of the Roe framework.

This is where the failure to truthfully reflect in conservative jurisprudence the moral monstrosity of abortion betrays its weakness. The progressive argument for abortion, with all its logical inconsistencies and the moral failure of arguing that a fetus is not worth protection, is at least not afraid to suggest other moral foundations. Progressives claim to protect the woman’s health and economic well-being, and these are indeed important, good things worth protecting—but not at the cost of destroying the unborn child’s life. For conservatives, the natural law should provide our own moral framework and legal foundation, but if we do not rely on it in defending the right of children to life in state legislatures and courts in years to come, we will not succeed in truly ending abortion in our country. Justice Kavanaugh suggested the Court should not be “forced . . . to pick sides” on the issue of abortion. The reasoning behind such a declared silence by the Supreme Court would not be a neutrality of moral indifference but rather moral cowardice, a refusal to pick a side reminiscent of the neutrals chasing the whirling banner in the vestibule of Dante’s Inferno.

In any case, as good as the originalist fetal personhood argument is, it only works at the federal level. While litigants in future disputes will not be prohibited from raising the unconstitutionality of an abortion provision on the grounds of the 14th Amendment, the Court’s refusal to pick it up here would not bode well for a federal constitutional challenge. In that broader 50 state fight following any overruling of Roe, the fight will be over state constitutional law in state legislatures and courthouses, who would be free to take either a stronger stance on abortion or grant a right to abortion in lieu of the lost federal right. Without the fetal personhood originalist argument readily usable in such contexts, the only morally persuasive way forward is not through a studied neutrality or reliance on state constitutional texts—it is through adherence to the foundations of natural law. If we do not rely on such a moral backbone in our own legal reasoning to combat the false morality of the progressive position, we may have sown the wind of one limited victory, only to reap the whirlwind of dozens of future defeats.